Here's a question that I obsessively calculate and recalculate with every loss or victory: What do y'all think is the minimum number of victories necessary to secure home court advantage through the playoffs in 2005-2006? I figure less than 60 won't do it, more than 65 will be unnecessary. So I'm gonna go with 62.
Don't know Scolas... there seems to be more balance this year... look at teams like the Bucks and Clippers.... Even the Bobcats aren't a cake walk at their place.... of course you could go with the argument that teams like the Kings & Bulls have taken a step back. I'll go with 60.
seed I look at it from the perspective of division standings If everyone would agree that the central division is by far the toughest out of the east then that would mean if we win our division we should have no problem beating the other teams in the conference. I say 58 will win the division Atlantic Nobody in the Atlantic even gives me the heebie jeebies but Boston first round knock out Jersey first round knock out Southeast Miami and Washington We will see how Miami does when shaq comes back but right now we have a couple game lead on them and we should keep it that way Washington it could be another rivalry in the making Gilbert vs. Billups fun to watch Central Cavs and Indy Bulls Cavs flop at the end of last year was great for us but don’t expect it again Indy tough series whoever has home court. Let’s just hope Miami and they play each other and they run each other in the ground Bulls with the loss of curry they are not as scary as they could have been Bucks dont know yet but Redd and Ford is scary right there
abe that all makes pretty good sense for the east... but what about if you factor in the west? i meant how many wins to get home court ALL the way through the playoffs?
woops, i put 63-21 in the official prediction thread, and a lot of other people based it on 84 games as well heh...woops!! i wanna say 63-19 but i think that's asking a bit much, i'll go with 61-21
pistons seem to be ... only team capable of long winning streaks, so as i noted preseason..HOME 35-6 AWAY 25-16 TOTAL 60-22...taht'll do, my bruddah!
enough so y'all seem to figure that around 60 is what's needed to secure home court, which is a .731 win percentage, or around 3 of every 4. cool then, we're ahead of schedule for now...
Yup The Central is the best division in the NBA right now. I'm thinking every team gets in. Anyway. It is pretty even, but yup 60'll be good. I'm thinking 61 too. GO DETROIT!
Recent History Here is the NBA best record over the last 5 years: 05: Phoenix 62-20 04: Indiana 61-21 03: San Antonio/Dallas 60-22 02: Sacramento 61-21 01: San Antonio 58-24 Stats from these last 5 years: Mean: 60.4 wins Median: 61 wins Applying Lee356's statistics: 27.3 wins + square root of PI / hypotenuse Before 2000-01, there were some higher win totals with the '00 Lakers (67) and Bulls of '97 (69) and '96 (72). This year appears to resemble the last five years without a dominant team. I would guess 62 wins will be good enough for the best record in the NBA this year. As you can see from the last 5 years, the best overall record certainly guarantees nothing once the playoffs roll around....
Wins Pistons are on pace to win 60+ games and one thing we know about Flip is he knows how to win in the reg season. Its the playoffs where we have to hope the Pistons post-season experience pulls us through. SAN will also win over 60. Too early too tell how Miami, Indy and Clev will do but I doubt any of them will make it. Los Vegas over/under for Indy and Miami I believe is 52 and 55 respectivly. Not sure about Clev but they are showing trouble winning big games on the road as last season so I would expect them not to win much more than 50. Here is the rubb. In the East with the 3rd seed automatically going to the Atlantic Div winner the 4th and 5th seeds most-likely are going to be Clev and Indy. That means the 1st seed plays the winner of Clev/Indy instead of the true 4th/5th best team in the East. Pistons need 1st seed for the Finals but that also most-likely means another consecutive Indy/Miami series ( with home court in both).
playoffs It certainly looks like the #4 and #5 seeds could come from the Central Division. It appears that 5 of the top 8 teams in the East are from Central. The Wizards are starting to struggle after their hot start so perhaps Milwaukee and Chicago could both make the playoffs. Washington has lost 6 of their last 7 games (the only win was against Detroit).
the pistons should manage getting better than indy and miami with the pistons starting off fast, and with them starting slow. san antonio is still right there behind us, ad the 2 times we face them (december 25th, and january 12th) will almost decide home-court. finishing records: miami:52-30, indy 56-26, san antonio 60-22, detroit 62-20. hope i'm right home-court will be big.
