# 1 seed?

Discussion in 'Pistons and NBA' started by professor, Nov 26, 2005.

  1. professor

    professor Bench Warmer Forum Donor

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    Here's a question that I obsessively calculate and recalculate with every loss or victory:

    What do y'all think is the minimum number of victories necessary to secure home court advantage through the playoffs in 2005-2006?

    I figure less than 60 won't do it, more than 65 will be unnecessary.

    So I'm gonna go with 62.
  2. mercury

    mercury Bench Warmer

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    Don't know Scolas... there seems to be more balance this year... look at teams like the Bucks and Clippers.... Even the Bobcats aren't a cake walk at their place.... of course you could go with the argument that teams like the Kings & Bulls have taken a step back.
    I'll go with 60.
  3. Abe Froemen

    Abe Froemen First Round Draft Pick

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    seed

    I look at it from the perspective of division standings
    If everyone would agree that the central division is by far the toughest out of the east then that would mean if we win our division we should have no problem beating the other teams in the conference. I say 58 will win the division

    Atlantic
    Nobody in the Atlantic even gives me the heebie jeebies but
    Boston first round knock out
    Jersey first round knock out

    Southeast
    Miami and Washington
    We will see how Miami does when shaq comes back but right now we have a couple game lead on them and we should keep it that way
    Washington it could be another rivalry in the making Gilbert vs. Billups fun to watch

    Central
    Cavs and Indy Bulls
    Cavs flop at the end of last year was great for us but don’t expect it again
    Indy tough series whoever has home court. Let’s just hope Miami and they play each other and they run each other in the ground
    Bulls with the loss of curry they are not as scary as they could have been
    Bucks dont know yet but Redd and Ford is scary right there
  4. professor

    professor Bench Warmer Forum Donor

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    abe

    that all makes pretty good sense for the east... but what about if you factor in the west? i meant how many wins to get home court ALL the way through the playoffs?
  5. Warthog

    Warthog Bench Warmer

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    i predicted pistions would go 63-21 this season and i venture that should be good enough
  6. professor

    professor Bench Warmer Forum Donor

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    do you mean 63 and 19? or 61 and 21? (63+21 = 84)
  7. Warthog

    Warthog Bench Warmer

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    woops, i put 63-21 in the official prediction thread, and a lot of other people based it on 84 games as well heh...woops!!

    i wanna say 63-19 but i think that's asking a bit much, i'll go with 61-21
  8. OLD SKOOL HQ

    OLD SKOOL HQ All-Star

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    pistons seem to be ...

    only team capable of long winning streaks, so as i noted preseason..HOME 35-6 AWAY 25-16 TOTAL 60-22...taht'll do, my bruddah!
  9. professor

    professor Bench Warmer Forum Donor

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    enough

    so y'all seem to figure that around 60 is what's needed to secure home court, which is a .731 win percentage, or around 3 of every 4.

    cool then, we're ahead of schedule for now...
  10. bricalz

    bricalz First Round Draft Pick

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    Yup

    The Central is the best division in the NBA right now.

    I'm thinking every team gets in.

    Anyway. It is pretty even, but yup 60'll be good. I'm thinking 61 too.

    GO DETROIT! :nod:
  11. BillLaimbeer

    BillLaimbeer All-Star 4x Fantasy Champion Forum Donor

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    Recent History

    Here is the NBA best record over the last 5 years:

    05: Phoenix 62-20
    04: Indiana 61-21
    03: San Antonio/Dallas 60-22
    02: Sacramento 61-21
    01: San Antonio 58-24

    Stats from these last 5 years:
    Mean: 60.4 wins
    Median: 61 wins
    Applying Lee356's statistics: 27.3 wins + square root of PI / hypotenuse

    Before 2000-01, there were some higher win totals with the '00 Lakers (67) and Bulls of '97 (69) and '96 (72).

    This year appears to resemble the last five years without a dominant team. I would guess 62 wins will be good enough for the best record in the NBA this year.

    As you can see from the last 5 years, the best overall record certainly guarantees nothing once the playoffs roll around....
  12. Darth Tater

    Darth Tater All-Star Forum Donor 6x Fantasy Champion

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    lmfao :pound: Thanks, I needed that.
  13. max

    max All-Star

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    Wins

    Pistons are on pace to win 60+ games and one thing we know about Flip is he knows how to win in the reg season. Its the playoffs where we have to hope the Pistons post-season experience pulls us through.

    SAN will also win over 60. Too early too tell how Miami, Indy and Clev will do but I doubt any of them will make it. Los Vegas over/under for Indy and Miami I believe is 52 and 55 respectivly. Not sure about Clev but they are showing trouble winning big games on the road as last season so I would expect them not to win much more than 50.

    Here is the rubb. In the East with the 3rd seed automatically going to the Atlantic Div winner the 4th and 5th seeds most-likely are going to be Clev and Indy. That means the 1st seed plays the winner of Clev/Indy instead of the true 4th/5th best team in the East.

    Pistons need 1st seed for the Finals but that also most-likely means another consecutive Indy/Miami series ( with home court in both).
  14. BillLaimbeer

    BillLaimbeer All-Star 4x Fantasy Champion Forum Donor

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    playoffs

    It certainly looks like the #4 and #5 seeds could come from the Central Division. It appears that 5 of the top 8 teams in the East are from Central. The Wizards are starting to struggle after their hot start so perhaps Milwaukee and Chicago could both make the playoffs. Washington has lost 6 of their last 7 games (the only win was against Detroit).
  15. himat

    himat Bench Warmer

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    the pistons should manage getting better than indy and miami with the pistons starting off fast, and with them starting slow. san antonio is still right there behind us, ad the 2 times we face them (december 25th, and january 12th) will almost decide home-court. finishing records: miami:52-30, indy 56-26, san antonio 60-22, detroit 62-20. hope i'm right home-court will be big.

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